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Posts Tagged ‘Evans Rankings’

Dominic Coffman (left) and Jonathan Valenzuela could be celebrating again, if our computer overlords are correct. (Photo by JohnsPhotos.net)

Make it so.

Our computer overlords have spoken, and they have an early fondness for Coupeville High School boys’ basketball.

Evan Rankings went down to the basement, fired up its seer of seers, Newman, asked the computer to spit out which teams it projects to make the 2023 state tournament fields, and the Wolves made the list.

Now, not a single game has been played, with practice having only just started, something website guru Matt Evans acknowledges.

Plus, the Washington Interscholastic Activities Association has yet to officially release state allocations for each district, so there could be some movement on how many spots are available in each area.

But worry not about that.

Evans and Newman are “experimenting with an algorithm to see how well the computer can use some data from the previous season along with returning player data to see if it can project success.”

Or, as the human in the room sagely says, “If this works, cool. If not, whatever.”

At any case, we can all come back in late February to see how the projections held up.

Newman’s projected state tourney fields:

 

2B boys:

 

District 1 (one projected berth):

Coupeville

 

District 4 (six projected berths):

Adna
Chief Leschi
Ilwaco
Kalama
Morton/White Pass
Wahkiakum

 

District 5 (four projected berths):

Cle Elum/Roslyn
Columbia (Burbank)
Tri-Cities Prep
White Swan

 

District 6 (two projected berths):

Brewster
Lake Roosevelt

 

District 7 (three projected berths):

Colfax
Davenport
Liberty (Spangle)

 

2B girls:

 

District 1 (one projected berth):

La Conner

 

District 4 (six projected berths):

Adna
Chief Leschi
Onalaska
Rainier
Raymond
Wahkiakum

 

District 5 (four projected berths):

Granger
Mabton
Tri-Cities Prep
Warden

 

District 6 (two projected berths):

Lake Roosevelt
Okanogan

 

District 7 (three projected berths):

Colfax
Liberty (Spangle)
St. George’s

 

P.S. — On the 1B side of things, Districts 1, 2, and 3 combine in the postseason and are projected to net six state slots for the boys and five for the girls.

Newman likes three of Coupeville’s Northwest 2B/1B League rivals to make the big dance — both Mount Vernon Christian teams and the Orcas Island boys.

 

To see Newman’s complete projections, pop over to:

https://evansrankings.wordpress.com/2022/11/16/ers-way-too-early-2023-wiaa-prep-basketball-tournament-fields/

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Wolf QB Logan Downes airs it out. (Brenn Sugatan photo)

Maybe they just shouldn’t play.

Despite having last Friday’s road rumble against Cascade (Leavenworth) cancelled by wildfire smoke, the Coupeville High School football team moved up in the Associated Press state poll.

The Wolves cracked the chart a week ago at #10 and moved up a slot to #9 Wednesday when the latest vote totals were released.

Coupeville, which received seven points a week ago, is up to 18 points, just a single point behind #8 Pe Ell/Willapa Valley.

The Wolves put their 5-1 mark on the line Friday when they host Northwest 2B/1B League rival La Conner.

A win on Senior Night will clinch at least a tie for Coupeville’s first football league title since 1990.

And now that we know what the human voters think of the Wolves, what do the computers say?

Both Evans Rankings and the Washington Interscholastic Activities Association’s RPI data have CHS at #6 among 2B teams.

 

Associated Press 2B poll for week 8:

1. Napavine – (7-0) – 90 poll points
2. Okanogan – (7-0) – 81
3. Toledo – (6-1) – 61
4. Lind-Ritzville/Sprague – (6-1) – 58
5. Columbia (Burbank) – (6-1) – 54
6. Raymond – (6-1) – 42
7. Chewelah (Jenkins) – (5-2) – 36
8. Pe Ell/Willapa Valley – (4-3) -19
9. Coupeville – (5-1) – 18
10. River View – (6-1) – 11

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Zane Oldenstadt and Co. have gained the favor of our computer overlords. (Photo by JohnsPhotos.net)

Rung by rung, we climb the ladder.

Fresh off a 48-6 drubbing of 2A Bellingham, the Coupeville High School football team jumps from #7 to #6 in the latest 2B overview from Evans Rankings.

Stats hound Matt Evans feeds his data into Newman, a diabolical computer likely bent on world domination, and it spits out its opinion every week.

After making a debut at #10 two weeks ago, the Wolves, who are 5-1, have climbed each week.

Coupeville’s next-door neighbor, 1A South Whidbey — the only team the Wolves have lost to this season — are ranked #8 among 1A schools.

And how does this compare to the RPI rankings compiled by the Washington Interscholastic Activities Association, which are “official?”

The WIAA has Coupeville at #8 in 2B and South Whidbey at #7 in 1A.

Personally, I prefer Newman, my favorite computer overlord.

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Coupeville football is 4-1 and earning the favor of our computer overlords. (Jackie Saia photo)

Movin’ on up.

Coming off of a 35-3 dismantling of league rival Friday Harbor, the Coupeville High School football squad jumps three rungs in the latest computer rankings.

Newman, the often-diabolical computer employed by stats hound Matt Evans on his site, Evans Rankings, has bumped the Wolves from #10 among 2B schools to #7.

Coupeville is a perfect 2-0 against fellow 2B schools this season, with wins over La Conner and Friday Harbor, while going 2-1 against 1A competition.

The Wolves beat Klahowya and Sultan, with their lone defeat coming to South Whidbey, which is 5-0 and also ranked #7 in its classification by Newman.

Next up for CHS is a home non-conference game Thursday against 2A Bellingham, which sits at 2-3 on the season.

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Daylon Houston and Coupeville are getting more respect these days. (Brenn Sugatan photo)

Our computer overlords are a benevolent bunch.

At least this week.

We still need to keep an eye on Skynet, but Newman, the system employed by noted numbers cruncher Matthew Evans, likes Coupeville at the moment.

The latest tally released by Evans Rankings has Wolf football in the top 10 for the first time this season.

Sporting a record of 3-1 heading towards a Homecoming showdown with Friday Harbor, Bennett Richter’s 2B squad has wins over 1A schools Klahowya and Sultan to its credit.

The only loss on the record came to another 1A school, South Whidbey, which is 4-0 and ranked #4 in its classification by Newman.

The work of Evans Rankings doesn’t officially impact the Washington Interscholastic Activities Association and its own RPI rankings, but it should, as the former often turns out to be much more realistic than the latter.

All hail our computer overlords! Now get back to practice.

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